Trail Sense

Android User Guide Book GitHub

8 - Weather

Weather can quickly change from a nice day to a life-threatening situation. You should always be prepared for the weather in your area and keep tabs on the forecast.

Be prepared

Gear

Necessities:

Optional:

Knowledge and skills

Start by learning how to do the following:

Once you have mastered these skills, you should learn how to do the following:

Weather

Weather conditions can change rapidly and significantly impact your outdoor activities. In mountainous regions, take extra precautions when above the tree line, as weather can be more severe and you are more exposed to the elements.

Precipitation

You can generally continue outdoor activities in light precipitation. However, if it starts precipitating heavily, seek shelter. Rivers and streams can rise rapidly and become dangerous during heavy rainfall. Be aware of the risk of hypothermia and take steps to stay warm and dry.

Blizzards can lead to whiteout conditions, severely reducing visibility. If caught in a blizzard, seek shelter immediately and stay warm and dry.

Temperature and humidity

In cold weather, dress in layers and wear a hat and gloves to prevent heat loss. Stay dry, as wet clothing can cause you to lose body heat more quickly.

In hot weather, stay hydrated and take breaks in the shade. Wear sunscreen and sun-protective clothing to protect yourself from sun exposure. High humidity can make it feel hotter and make cooling off more difficult.

Temperature changes as you change elevation, decreasing by about 3.5°F (2°C) for every 1,000 feet (305 meters) of elevation gain. If you are hiking in a mountainous region, it may be warm at the bottom, but be prepared for cold, windy temperatures at the top.

Wind

Wind can make cold conditions feel even colder, increasing the risk of hypothermia and frostbite. Dress in layers and wear a hat and gloves to protect yourself from the wind. During windstorms, unstable trees and branches can become hazardous.

Wind can cause sandstorms in desert environments, reducing visibility and making breathing difficult. Seek shelter during a sandstorm and protect your eyes and mouth with a bandana or cloth.

Prevailing winds are winds that blow consistently in one direction over time. While local geography and bodies of water can affect wind patterns, general patterns are as follows:

These directions also indicate where the weather will most likely come from. For example, if you are at 40° N and see a thunderstorm to the west, it will likely arrive at your location soon.

Fog

Fog reduces visibility, making navigation difficult. If hiking in fog, stay on marked trails and use a map, compass, or GPS to navigate. Watch your footing carefully.

Lightning

If caught outdoors during a thunderstorm, seek shelter immediately. Avoid tall trees and bodies of water, but get out of open areas. If you're in an open area and can't take shelter, crouch down on the balls of your feet and cover your ears to reduce the risk of lightning strikes.

If you feel your hair stand on end or hear a crackling noise, you are in danger of being struck by lightning.

You can estimate how far away a thunderstorm is by counting the seconds between a flash of lightning and the sound of thunder. Divide the number of seconds by 5 to get the distance in miles. One mile is about 1.6 kilometers. Any storm within 6 miles (10 kilometers) is a threat.

Sun

Wear sunscreen and sun-protective clothing on days with a high UV index. In hot climates, stay hydrated and take breaks in the shade.

Smoke

Wildfires can cause smoke to travel long distances. If possible, avoid outdoor activities on days with poor air quality.

Climate

The climate of a region refers to its average weather conditions over time. You should look up the average daily high and low temperatures, how often it rains or snows, what the humidity normally is, and where the prevailing wind blows from. You should prepare for conditions to return to the climate normals in a longer-term scenario, so if it is unusually warm during your hike but the average low is below freezing, bring cold weather gear with you.

Forecasting

You can learn to forecast weather by observing the signs around you. The more signs you notice, the more accurate your forecast will be.

Signs of worsening weather

Signs of improving weather

Clouds

Identifying the cloud type can improve your ability to forecast weather.

  1. Cirrocumulus: High-level clouds that form a wavy sheet. The sheet is composed of small dots which almost look two-dimensional. May indicate precipitation in the next 8 to 12 hours.
  2. Altocumulus: Mid-level puffy clouds that look like cotton balls. They are typically white with darker patches below and can be spaced out or sheet-like. May indicate precipitation or a thunderstorm in the next 12 hours.
  3. Cumulus: Low puffy clouds that look like cotton balls. They are spaced out and are typically white with darker patches below. Usually indicates fair weather, but if it is growing taller, then precipitation or a thunderstorm could be possible in the next few hours.
  4. Cumulonimbus: Low puffy clouds that are very tall. They typically have an anvil shape and are dark. May indicate a thunderstorm in a few minutes.
  5. Cirrostratus: A high cloud that covers the sky. It is transparent and typically causes a halo to form around the sun. May indicate precipitation in the next 10 to 15 hours.
  6. Altostratus: A mid-level cloud that covers the sky. The sun can barely be seen as a bright patch. May indicate precipitation in the next 8 hours.
  7. Stratus: A low cloud that covers the sky. Objects don't cast shadows, and it may be foggy. May indicate fair weather for the next 3 hours if it is foggy; otherwise, it may indicate precipitation soon.
  8. Nimbostratus: A mid-level cloud that is dark gray and covers the sky. If it is not raining, it may be a stratus cloud. May have precipitation for the next 4 hours.
  9. Cirrus: High wispy clouds that look like tufts of white hair. May indicate precipitation in the next 12 to 24 hours.

Tides

Tides can affect outdoor activities near the coast. A receding tide can lead to rip currents, which are dangerous for swimmers. Check the tide tables before heading to the coast. Tide tables can be found online or in local newspapers.

This map shows the tide types around the world. Green is semidiurnal, blue is mixed, and orange is diurnal.

Semidiurnal tides

Semidiurnal tides have two high tides and two low tides each day. If you know the time of high tide, the next low tide will be about 6 hours later, and the following high tide will be about 6 hours after that.

Mixed tides

Mixed tides are a type of semidiurnal tide, but the heights of the high and/or low tides vary throughout the day.

Diurnal tides

Diurnal tides have one high tide and one low tide each day. If you know the time of high tide, the next low tide will be about 12 hours later, and the next high tide will be about 12 hours after that.

Night

You can estimate the time until sunset by holding your hand horizontally with your fingers together and counting the number of finger widths between the sun and the horizon. Each finger width represents roughly 15 minutes.

Navigating in the dark is not recommended; if necessary, use a flashlight or headlamp to light your way. On nights with a nearly full moon, you can use the moonlight to help navigate.